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How Scientists Might Stop an Asteroid from Hitting the Moon

Doggy
1 時間前

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Overview

The Urgent Need to Protect the Moon from Potential Catastrophe

In the United States, recent scientific assessments emphasize a compelling concern: asteroid 2024 YR4 might collide with the moon around December 2032. Although it no longer poses a direct threat to Earth, the impact on the moon could still unleash devastating consequences—imagine a colossal explosion forming a new crater, scattering debris across space that could later rain down on satellites and space stations, threatening both manned missions and future lunar colonies. For instance, a lunar collision large enough to eject massive debris could create risks that ripple back to Earth, imperiling our satellites, communication systems, and even astronauts. Consequently, safeguarding our lunar neighbor isn't just about celestial preservation; it’s an urgent step in protecting our entire space environment, which ultimately safeguards life and infrastructure on Earth. Acting proactively, before the impact window closes, becomes our best bet to avert chaos in space and on our planet.

Destruction: The Most Decisive and Reliable Response

Many scientists advocate for destruction—using precise impactors or nuclear devices— as the ultimate backup plan, particularly when uncertainties about the asteroid’s mass and trajectory hamper deflection efforts. Take the recent success of NASA’s DART mission, which demonstrated that a carefully calibrated impact could subtly change an asteroid’s path—an important first step. Building on that, a mission designed to explode or fragment the asteroid could effectively eliminate the threat altogether. Imagine deploying a nuclear device in space, capable of breaking the asteroid into small, harmless pieces that burn up in Earth’s atmosphere or drift onto the moon's surface, causing minimal collateral damage. With the precision technology and the urgency of a limited window—say between 2030 and 2032—such aggressive action could guarantee the asteroid’s destruction, thereby removing all doubt and risk associated with less certain deflection techniques.

Why Destruction Ensures Absolute Safety in Critical Situations

Some skeptics might worry about the risks associated with detonating nuclear devices or smashing asteroids into pieces, but in truth, destruction offers unparalleled certainty—an essential factor when time is running out. When deflection relies heavily on precise measurements of the asteroid’s mass or trajectory—which are often difficult to obtain quickly— destruction emerges as the most dependable option. For example, deploying a nuclear impactor in the next few years would act as a failsafe, guaranteeing the asteroid’s obliteration regardless of the unknowns. Moreover, international collaboration and technological advancements are making such strategies increasingly feasible and safe. Think of this approach as the space equivalent of deploying a nuclear option—an ultimate safeguard to prevent lunar impacts, protect the space environment, and preserve human exploration efforts. In high-stakes scenarios, choosing destruction not only minimizes risk but also maximizes our ability to act decisively, fundamentally securing both lunar and terrestrial safety.


References

  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aster...
  • https://phys.org/news/2025-09-destr...
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